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Harvey Hunter
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Ripple has just released another one billion XRP from escrow, putting fresh supply back into the market at a time when demand remains muted.
This latest unlock could weigh on bullish XRP price predictions, as traders assess whether the market can absorb such a large injection of tokens.
Blockchain tracker Whale Alert reported that the one billion XRP was unlocked through four separate transactions, in line with Ripple’s routine monthly escrow schedule.
With liquidity still thin and sentiment cautious, this supply event is now a key factor shaping XRP’s near-term outlook.
XRP is already on a fragile footing after the tenth-largest crypto liquidation event pushed prices to multi-year lows, and the added inflationary pressure is only compounding the strain.
This release of newly transferable tokens boosts liquidity at price levels where demand is still selective, making rebounds more likely to fade than evolve into sustained trends.
That said, XRP will not bear the full weight of the 1 bullion token release. Whale Alert reported that 700 million XRP was re-locked in a 55-month escrow, leaving a net 300 million unlocked for the February period.
Of that amount, only around $477.6 million worth of XRP is expected to enter circulation, primarily to support operational needs or liquidity requirements.
XRP Price Prediction: Price Shock Coming?
The days since have seen the market absorb the excess supply well, as XRP consolidates within a symmetrical triangle following the crash, but price action suggests it may not be out of the woods yet.
The sharp sell-off has formed a clear flagpole, setting up a textbook bear flag continuation pattern. If confirmed, this structure leaves the door open to another leg lower.
The setup remains fragile. However, momentum indicators are beginning to hint that downside pressure may be weakening.
The RSI has printed a bullish divergence against price, forming a series of higher lows that compress against the neutral 50 level — a sign that buying pressure is quietly building beneath the surface.
Pressure is building beneath the surface. And while the MACD is losing its lead above the signal line, it maintains a wide margin from a potential death cross, keeping the uptrend intact.
If demand continues to build and the triangle breaks to the upside, XRP could invalidate the bear flag entirely, triggering a breakout that reclaims $1.95 in a roughly 23% move.
Failure to do so, however, would likely confirm the continuation pattern, targeting another 20% drop to $1.25.
In either case, the immediate levels to watch are a break of $1.50 support for downside, and a flip of $1.68 resistance into support for upside.
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