I have been thinking a lot about this. Have been experimenting like a madman for two months
A few unhinged thoughts: – It’s a huge advantage to have a past body of work and style in terms of fine-tuning and training. It can help you understand your own style and keep evolving that over time independent of LLMs
– Vibe Writing will be a thing in 6-12 months if not the next couple of months. LLM suggest edits => accept. The biggest thing stopping this is reliable output based on an input/preferred vibe. It is getting CLOSE
– Much of the friction of writing, like getting stuck on sections/sentences/phrasing is basically gone. You can just prompt your LLM coach for alternatives to unstuck yourself
– LLMs will empower existing authors with audiences. LLMs will enable you to build your own team of people. An LLM developmental editor (slower reasoning models), a parter co-writer LLM for remixing and rewriting sentences, an LLM copyeditor and proofreader and LLM translator – its still so early but these are coming
– This leads to the fact that LLMs will increase the speed of writing. The time to first draft can be dramatically shortened. You can now generate really good writing that is similar to yours as a first draft
– Right now we have less books because its hard to write a damn book. As this gets easier, we’ll see more books, shorter books, and more creative collaborations
– just like music has such a fast production and relase cycle (singles dropping randomly) I think authors go this wway too.
– The reading experience obviously will change. Kindle will likely ship AI features in the next 2-3 years that will help you understand characters, refactor books to your preferences, and instantly translate to different languages / audio. Of couse the traditional publishing dinosaurs will lose their minds of this.
– Theres a huge opportunity for more reading devices clear AND a big opportunity for new direct to reader distribution (long self-publishing lol) – Text to voice will be instant and cheap too meaning the divide between reading/listening gets fuzzier
Here is the link, responding to the thoughts of David Perell immediately below.
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