Ethereum enters the new trading week at a fragile point, with the price hovering around $3,160 after a slight 0.16% gain in the last 24 hours. As the second-largest cryptocurrency with a $381.6bn market cap, ETH is now squeezed inside one of its most important technical structures of 2024–2025: a broad symmetrical triangle that has been contracting since the August highs.
What makes this moment pivotal is the convergence of two major trendlines. The long-term rising trendline that originated from the April breakout continues to act as structural support, while a firm descending trendline has rejected every rally for nearly three months. ETH is sitting directly at this apex, a point where markets rarely stay neutral for long.
The recent candles reflect this uncertainty.
Long lower wicks indicate buyers are defending the $3,060 demand zone, while small-bodied recoveries signal hesitation near the descending trendline. The 20-day EMA has also turned lower, creating dynamic resistance that sellers continue to lean on.
Momentum Weakens as ETH Approaches Breakout Zone
ETH’s momentum profile leans bearish, with the RSI sitting at 34, firmly below midline but not yet forming bullish divergence. This means price and momentum are aligned to the downside, not working against each other, a sign that sellers are still influencing direction.
Historically, ETH has staged recoveries from similar RSI levels, but only when paired with a firm reaction at trendline support.
Key near-term technical levels include:
- Support: $3,060, followed by $2,632 and $2,192
- Resistance: $3,485, $3,653, and $4,242
- Structure trigger: Daily close above $3,653 to break the bearish pattern
ETH’s positioning inside the triangle suggests that a decisive move is close. If buyers manage to hold $3,060 and print a bullish engulfing candle, the first upside target becomes the triangle’s upper boundary near $3,485, followed by the critical $3,653 level that would formally flip the bearish structure.
A breakout here would allow ETH to reclaim the 20-day EMA, retest the trendline from above, and potentially accelerate toward $4,242—a major resistance shelf.
Ethereum (ETH/USD) Forecast: ETH’s Next Move Could Be Sudden
Ethereum price prediction seems neutral as symmetrical triangle is in play. A clean breakdown below $3,060 would snap the long-term rising trendline, exposing ETH to a deeper pullback into $2,632 and then $2,192, the next two liquidity pockets on the daily chart.
Given how tightly ETH is currently compressed, any violation of support could trigger a fast, momentum-driven move.
But if ETH reclaims $3,653, the narrative flips instantly. That level represents both structural reversal and a psychological shift back in favor of buyers. A close above it would confirm a bullish breakout from the triangle, setting the stage for a renewed uptrend.
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