(Reuters) – oil and fuel stockpiles are expected to have fallen last week, a preliminary Reuters poll showed on Monday.
Three analysts polled by Reuters estimated on average that crude inventories fell by about 2 million barrels in the week to Dec. 20.
The poll was conducted ahead of a report from the American Petroleum Institute industry group at 4:30 p.m. EST (2130 GMT) on Tuesday and one from the Energy Information Administration, the statistical arm of the U.S. Department of Energy, at 1 p.m. EST (1800 GMT) on Friday.
The EIA’s weekly report, which is usually released on Wednesday, is delayed until Friday due to the Christmas holiday.
Crude inventories fell by 934,000 barrels to 421 million barrels in the week ended Dec. 13, the EIA said, compared with analysts’ expectations in a Reuters poll for a 1.6-million-barrel draw.
REUTERS FORECAST ACTUAL FOR PREVIOUS WEEK YR-AGO CHANGE
CHANGE FOR WEEK WEEK (EIA) CHANGE WEEK ENDED
ENDED ENDED 12/22/23
12/20/24 12/13/24
CRUDE -2.0 MLN 421 -0.9 MLN -7.1 MLN
DISTILLATE -1.1 MLN 118.2 -3.2 MLN 0.7 MLN
GASOLINE -2.7 MLN 222 2.3 MLN -0.7 MLN
REFINERY RUNS -0.4 PCT PT 91.8 -0.6 PCT PT 0.9 PCT PT
NATGAS STORAGE -100 BCF TO -94 BCF (FOUR FORECASTS)
FORECAST
Analysts estimated stockpiles of gasoline fell by about 2.7 million barrels last week, while distillate inventories, which include diesel and , were expected to have decreased by about 1.1 million barrels.
The rate of refinery utilization was estimated to have decreased by 0.4 percentage point from 91.8% of total capacity in the previous week, the poll found.
All figures for stocks are in millions of barrels. Refinery-rate changes are measured in percentage points.
Organization Crude Distillate Gasoline Refinery
runs
Price Futures Group -3.0 -3.0 -3.0 -1.0
Ritterbusch Associates -2.0 1.9 -1.0 -0.4
Rystad Energy -0.6 -1.1 -2.7 0.3
