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Ahmed Balaha
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The Solana price ($SOL) has pulled off a stunning 12% rally from the bottom, but one critical signal threatens to crash the party.
The bounce came fast, pushing SOL away from dangerous levels. Yet, seasoned analysts are still bearish, adding doubts to bullish Solana price predictions.
There is one lurking indicator could send everything spiraling back down.
Here’s what every SOL holder needs to know right now.
This One Signal Could Ruin Everything
Long-term holders are backing away from Solana at the worst possible time. HODLer Net Position Change data shows accumulation is slowing down dramatically after last week’s sharp pullback.
These diamond-handed investors usually provide crucial price support during rough patches. But their conviction appears shaken, and that’s a massive red flag for sustainability.
The Money Flow Index is approaching oversold levels below 20.0. This typically signals that sellers exhaustion is setting in.
Solana has only hit oversold levels three times in the past two and a half years. Each time, it led to meaningful price stabilization or even reversals that caught bears off guard.
Solana Price Prediction: Will SOL Break Under $70 Support?
Solana is still stuck in a descending channel and has now slipped below that structure into the $85 to $90 area, which is acting as short-term support for now.
Trend wise, nothing has really changed. This is still a bearish setup with lower highs and lower lows firmly in place.
If this support gives way, the next major downside level sits around $70, which is the last strong demand zone.
The first resistance to watch is around $100, but the real level that matters is $144. A daily close above $144 would be the signal that the downtrend is likely over and a real bullish shift is underway.
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