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Traders see fading chances of Fed rate hike, bet on earlier rate cut By Reuters

Traders see fading chances of Fed rate hike, bet on earlier rate cut
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell answers a question at a press conference following a closed two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee on interest rate policy at the Federal Reserve in Washington, U.S., November 1, 2023.

Traders on Friday moved to price a smaller chance of Federal Reserve interest-rate hike in coming months after a government report showed U.S. employers hired fewer workers last month and the unemployment rate rose, signs tighter policy is slowing growth.

The chance of a Fed rate hike by January fell to around 20% after the report, versus about 30% before the report, based on prices of futures contracts that settle to the Fed policy rate. Pricing now reflects a better-than-even chance of a rate hike by May, against earlier expectations for rate cuts to start in June. 

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