Sunday assorted links

1. A defense of prediction markets.

2. Ezra on GPT-5 (NYT).

3. Is complex animal life much older than we had thought?

4. “How much have murder rates increased since 2000 in the four European countries that get the most attention for their immigrant crime — Sweden, France, Germany and UK? Answer: They haven’t increased. Murder rates have declined since 2000 in all four countries.”  Link here.

5. “Postal services in Germany, Denmark, Sweden and Italy said they will stop shipping most merchandise to the U.S. effective immediately. France and Austria will follow on Monday.”

6. Update on the first Neuralink implant guy.

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