Hot Paths

Fed will return to rate cuts in 2027 on consumer fatigue – Pantheon Macro (US2Y:)

Sep 23, 2026, 12:49 PM ETUnited States 2-Year Bond Yield (US2Y), SHY, US10Y, TLT, XLYQQQ, SPY, DIA, IEF, TIP, VCR, USO, RXI, RSPD, IEI, TLH, FXD, BIL, SPIP, WIP, BNO, SCHP, SCHO, STIP, GTIP, RINF, VTIP, TIPX, FDIS, SP500, LQDI, SGOV, DXYBy: Max Gottlich, SA News Editor
Department of Treasury & The Federal Reserve

Douglas Rissing

Pantheon Macroeconomics forecasts that the Federal Open Market Committee will pivot to material policy easing next year, lowering the federal funds rate to 3.125% by year-end from the current 3.75%-4.00% target range—even as another 25-basis-point hike remains a near-term risk this year due

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